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Exploring Urban Life on Exoplanets: A Galactic Quest

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Chapter 1: The Urban Glow of Earth and Beyond

From the vantage point of space, humanity's influence is unmistakable. Our vast cities illuminate the dark side of Earth, creating a gentle glow. This raises an intriguing question among astronomers: do distant exoplanets host civilizations with their own glowing cities? If they do, could we uncover the mystery of whether we are alone in the universe by detecting their distant lights? Yet, can our most sophisticated telescopes even discern light from such immense distances?

Earth at night showcasing human settlements

Chapter 1.1: The James Webb Space Telescope's Mission

The upcoming James Webb Space Telescope (JWST) represents a significant advancement in optical technology. It's akin to a more powerful version of the groundbreaking Hubble Space Telescope. Initially aimed at exploring far-off galaxies, the light captured by JWST will offer glimpses of a very young universe, helping to unravel the formation of stars, galaxies, and cosmic evolution.

However, while JWST was in development, other telescopes developed innovative methods for discovering exoplanets. Techniques such as monitoring star wobbles or observing dips in brightness during planetary transits have revealed numerous distant worlds. The JWST's creators recognized that these advancements position their telescope as a premier tool for detecting exoplanets.

With its remarkable magnification capabilities, JWST not only has the potential to discover more exoplanets but could also analyze the conditions on their surfaces using its spectroscopic sensors. This means JWST could not only identify Earth-like exoplanets but also assess their atmospheres and surface temperatures.

But the question remains: can it see a city?

James Webb Space Telescope rendering by NASA

Chapter 1.2: Simulating Urban Lights on Proxima b

Avi Loeb, an astrophysicist at Harvard, conducted simulations to evaluate JWST's capability to detect potential city lights on Proxima b, our nearest Earth-like exoplanet located 4.2 light-years away. The results were intriguing.

The key finding indicates that JWST could have an 85% chance of spotting city lights on Proxima b if only 5% of its surface is urbanized. This suggests that if a portion of the planet is illuminated and conditions are optimal, we might catch a glimpse of any possible extraterrestrial city.

However, there's a significant caveat. Human cities occupy merely 0.05% of Earth's surface, implying that Proxima b would need to be 100 times more urbanized to achieve similar visibility. Yet, this level of urbanization might be crucial for the survival of any civilization on Proxima b.

Artistic impression of Proxima b's surface

Section 1.2.1: The Unique Environment of Proxima b

Proxima b is tidally locked, meaning one side endures perpetual sunlight while the other is shrouded in continuous darkness, with a temperate twilight zone in between. Any life forms would likely evolve within this habitable band. A technologically advanced civilization requiring extensive land may need to illuminate and heat the dark side artificially. Therefore, it's plausible that 5% of the dark side could be artificially lit for agriculture and other purposes.

So, while JWST may detect city lights on Proxima b, it would require extensive urbanization to do so. But can the next generation of telescopes improve upon this?

Chapter 2: Next-Gen Telescopes and Their Capabilities

The HabEx and LUVOIR telescopes are currently under development and are specifically designed for exoplanet observation, making them considerably more capable than JWST. These new observatories could detect urbanization levels as low as 0.4% on Proxima b.

This means that if Proxima b had urbanization comparable to Earth, these telescopes might struggle to detect cities. However, they are 12.5 times more powerful than JWST, which raises the possibility of discovering civilizations at similar urbanization levels without requiring the advanced technology needed to light vast areas of the planet artificially.

Earth is projected to reach 0.5% urbanization within the next century, implying that an alien civilization on Proxima b could potentially achieve the same urbanization level without the complex technologies we use. Thus, HabEx and LUVOIR could realistically identify a civilization on Proxima b.

Unfortunately, even these advanced telescopes would be unable to spot cities on exoplanets farther away due to the challenges of detecting faint light.

Chapter 2.1: The Concept of Ecumenopolises

An ecumenopolis refers to a planet that is entirely urbanized—a world entirely covered by a city. Rather than a dim glow, such planets would shine brightly, comparable to a small star, making them detectable by JWST, HabEx, and LUVOIR. The latter two could identify ecumenopolises around the nearest 80 stars.

This raises the possibility that if there are advanced alien civilizations in our vicinity, we might soon observe them.

But what implications would arise from discovering a civilization on Proxima b or finding an ecumenopolis?

If JWST cannot detect a city, it shouldn't be surprising. A 5% urbanized planet would imply a highly advanced civilization, yet we have not received any radio signals from Proxima b with the expected frequency. A single signal, referred to as 'BLC1,' has been detected, but its origin remains unconfirmed.

Satellite view of Earth at night

Chapter 2.2: The Silence of Potential Civilizations

Should we discover a city on Proxima b, we must ponder why they are not transmitting signals. In the case of ecumenopolises, the situation becomes more concerning. While JWST could detect nearby ecumenopolises, HabEx and LUVOIR could identify numerous potential targets.

A civilization capable of constructing such a megacity would be significantly more advanced than ours and could potentially send probes to our solar system. However, these civilizations would likely be engaged in extensive radio communications. If we haven't noticed them yet, it raises alarm bells.

If these telescopes were to find any cities, it could indicate that these civilizations are deliberately concealing their presence. This suggests the existence of aggressive civilizations that could pose a threat to us.

Furthermore, we have been emitting radio signals into space for over a century, acting as a beacon for any potential cosmic threats. If we discover ecumenopolises, we may face a serious risk of invasion, prompting a reevaluation of our communication strategies to avoid attracting unwanted attention.

In conclusion, while JWST might detect city lights from Proxima b if it is highly developed, and next-generation telescopes could identify cities on similar urbanized planets, the search for civilizations is just beginning. We have only surveyed a fraction of the stars in the Milky Way.

Should we find evidence of extraterrestrial life, it could be both exhilarating and terrifying. The universe is vast, and we are not alone, but the silence of these civilizations invites serious questions about their intentions and our safety.

Regardless of the outcomes, the advancements in telescopic technology are remarkable! They may not lead to the discovery of distant civilizations, but they will deepen our understanding of exoplanet compositions, the evolution of the universe, and potentially uncover a host of unforeseen discoveries. The future of astrophysics looks incredibly promising!

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